Division I poll predictions

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Postby Ravaging Beast on Tue Apr 22, 2008 4:28 pm

iDinosaur! wrote:Oregon, Colorado, and Utah all still have chances left to prove they belong.

That is why I think they need to be kept in striking distance. Anything below 17 will make it very tough for them to go. Success at Nationals has a lot to do with momentum.
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Postby Baller1 on Tue Apr 22, 2008 4:28 pm

nhoskins wrote:My top 25

1. Michigan
2. Chapman
3. Duluth
4. BYU
5. SFU
6. ASU
7. CSU
8. UCSB
9. Sonoma
10. Boston College
11. Georgia
12. Virginia Tech
13. Florida State
14. Oregon
15. Colorado
16. Florida
17. Texas A&M
18. Utah
19. Cal Poly

After 14.. it really doesn't matter.


How could you have Cal Poly at 19, when they don't even make the playoffs, and have losses to Stanford and Santa Clara?
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Postby buffalowill on Tue Apr 22, 2008 4:36 pm

I just keep thinking that Sonoma and UCSB are getting too much benefit...
The week after UCSB looses to both FSU and Florida, they moved up from 10 to 8!
I understand they played Chapman and ASU close, but they did not win! LMU played the Gauchos very close and I don't see them moving up at all, actually they will drop.
This hurts the SELC schools the most for even if Sonoma or UCSB falter early in the WCLL playoffs I don't see them dropping below 10/11.
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Postby RopeNoRope on Tue Apr 22, 2008 5:11 pm

Couldn't agree more. UCSB has been getting way too much love in the pools since the whole Florida fiasco. I see them around 11-13, but with a chance to improve if they can pull out a win in Tempe next week.
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Postby iDinosaur! on Tue Apr 22, 2008 8:07 pm

Ravaging Beast wrote:
iDinosaur! wrote:Oregon, Colorado, and Utah all still have chances left to prove they belong.

That is why I think they need to be kept in striking distance. Anything below 17 will make it very tough for them to go. Success at Nationals has a lot to do with momentum.


No matter how close you would like them to be so that hypothetical wins could move them into the tournament, IMO, you cannot move a team up 4 spots who lost 2 games since the last poll, one of which was to a lower ranked team.

I can see the justification on Colorado. With only one (maybe two depending on how you view Oregon) BAD loss, I feel like they could legitimately play themselves into the playoffs with 1 or 2 good wins late. The flip side of the coin, and why I would not have a problem with the poll having them in the 16-20 range, is that they really have not beaten anyone.

I think that Utah is in a different boat. Utah lost to Lindenwood, Cal Poly, Claremont, Chapman, FSU, Georgia, ASU, and BYU I guess I don't see that they have earned the right to be within striking distance. I would think that Utah fits in around the 20-22 range for the next poll.
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Postby Ballaholic on Tue Apr 22, 2008 9:29 pm

UkraineNotWeak wrote:Stanford at 16? No.


ageed
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Postby wheelz33 on Tue Apr 22, 2008 9:36 pm

Ballaholic wrote:
UkraineNotWeak wrote:Stanford at 16? No.


ageed


seconded
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Postby ineedmorecowbell on Tue Apr 22, 2008 11:59 pm

yeah i don't see utah being that high. they didn't play as well as they are capable against byu, but they got stomped. there's no denying that. i don't think they should drop except for behind lindenwood. unless they pull out another weekend miracle, they are staying home this may.
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Postby SoCalLaxDoctor on Wed Apr 23, 2008 1:22 am

ineedmorecowbell wrote:yeah i don't see utah being that high. they didn't play as well as they are capable against byu, but they got stomped. there's no denying that. i don't think they should drop except for behind lindenwood. unless they pull out another weekend miracle, they are staying home this may.


My tests reveal that the Utah squad is BiPolar :x :D and it will depend which team shows up. They are fully capable of a major upset.
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Postby CardLax on Wed Apr 23, 2008 5:42 am

Hi-Line Lax wrote:speaking of Cal, why aren't they in the Top 25? To me they have a better resume than say UCF (not to pick on them).


Cal decided to show up and play a little bit late this season. Starting midway through the Oregon game, they really picked it up a notch and became a top 25 caliber team. The close games against UCSB and Cal Poly were indicators of Cal's potential. I could see them reaching the 25 spot, but then arises the issue of where to rank Santa Clara. I think when we take into account the full season, Santa Clara has to find the rankings first based on consistency.
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