MCLA-D1 T25 Results: Feb 4-10th

[Zamboni_Driver]

Rank. Team (MCLA Record) [T25 W/T25 L/ NON RANKED L]

1. BYU (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

2. Colorado State (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

3. UCSB (4 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....UCLA....................12-5
W.....USC......................9-7

4. Minnesota-Duluth (1 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Minn-Mankato........22-4

5. Oregon (1 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Oregon State.........12-4

6. Arizona State (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

7. Boston College (1 - 1) [1/1/0]
L.....#13 Georgia............9-11
W.....#19 Florida.............8-7

8. Michigan (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

9. Arizona (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
NR......Grand Canyon

10. Northeastern (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

11. Lindenwood (1 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Kansas State...........22-2

12. Colorado (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

13. Georgia (1 - 1) [1/1/0]
L.....#19 Florida...............9-13
W.....#7 Boston College...11-9

14. Sonoma State (1 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Santa Clara.............10-6

15. Chapman (2 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Loyola Marymount...18-7

16. Florida State (2 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Miami (FL)...............18-8

17. Texas A&M (3 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Texas Tech.............23-9

18. Illinois (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

19. Florida (2 - 1) [1/1/0]
W.....#13 Georgia............13-9
L......#7 Boston College....7-8

20. Virginia Tech (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

21. Utah (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

22. Cal Poly (2 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....UC San Diego..........10-6

23. Michigan State (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE

24. Simon Fraser (0 - 0) [0/0/0]
IDLE - GAMES RESCHEDULED

25. Texas (1 - 0) [0/0/0]
W.....Southwestern..........16-6

O.R.V - Georgia Tech [W - Suwanee(DIII) 16-6]...Loyola Marymount [L - #15 Chapman 7-18]...California [L - Chico State 10-8]

[nhoskins]

7. Boston College (1 - 1) [1/1/0]
L.....#13 Georgia............9-11
W.....#19 Florida.............8-7

13. Georgia (1 - 1) [1/1/0]
L.....#19 Florida...............9-13
W.....#7 Boston College...11-9

19. Florida (2 - 1) [1/1/0]
W.....#13 Georgia............13-9
L......#7 Boston College....7-8

So how does that shake down in the next poll?

[Zamboni_Driver]

Although it is very early and these results could mean nothing in the end, thinking about it is a lot more fun than what I should be doing.

let's go in decending order....

#19 Florida

On paper this team lost several scorers and their goalie from last year. On paper this team lost more than UGA and BC. But, this first game against UGA was a rematch of last year's SELC championship. Their 13-9 win may be result of 1) a vendetta, 2) UGA looking forward to BC, 3) UGA is not as talented as presumed, 4) Florida has more talent and reserves than previously recognized. I'm going to go with it was a combination of all 4. Their close loss to BC helps support that they have talent, and not just a 1 hit wonder. But this team is going to be hard pressed to make a claim to the Top 16 already for the following reasons: A. FL and UGA will potentially face again in the SELC tournament and I don't see a rematch helping, B. They face only 2 more OOC T25 teams to which to judge them, and those two are #15 Chapman and #3 UCSB. I predict both will be top 10 when they face FL and if FL takes 2 losses, they might not have any OOC T25 wins. Even if they win the SELC, they'll face a 13-16 ranking and face a tough first day.

I predict they will move up to a mid-teen (14-16th) ranking at the next poll

#13 Georgia

Coming off this past year, this team should have been shooting to push for T10 ranking (most-likely #10) face #7 at nationals and try to push for a day 2. They lost their leading scorer, but had several reserves...they lost some defensemen, but return the stellar goalie. Overall a positive outlook to move up. Losing to FL didn't help that cause. Particularly interesting is giving up 13 points - maybe that "lost some defensemen" is more significant than previously thought. Beating BC however helps - atleast for the time being, especially because BC beat FL. They can now claim a little harder that their loss to FL was them looking forward and FL being fired up about a rematch. However, they may not get to much bump from the BC win because of reasons below. However, UGA has a better outlook as far as schedule. They face #11 Lindenwood and #16 FSU before the next poll. They can have 2 T15 OOC wins and and third by beating FSU showing the ship had been righted.

If they win Lindenwood and FSU they will not budge in the polls (#11-#13), if they lose look to drop and FL to rise.

#7 Boston College

If we were on wall street, BC's stock would go from "buy" to "hold, but watch". For me the coaching switch is significant. I definitely would have ranked them lower because of this switch, and possibly the team knew about it for a while, but it was only released recently, which I fear would lead to lack of preparation. The loss to UGA may be indicative of that, and in a few weeks the true team will arrive. Second, you could point to the fact that their first game might have been their first time on a full field. The FL win could show they just needed to get out and play and the rust is now knocked off.

I think they will drop to the #9-#12 range in the next poll. But then it gets scarier for BC. Their next 2 games are against #2 CSU and #4 Minn-Duluth. The good thing is they have 19 days between the FL game and CSU game. I'm guessing the orignal thought in this scheduling is go to the SELC and face some T25 schools that are formidable opponents to warm up and get 2 wins, go west and play T5 and look to split the weekend, leaving them 3-1 in T25 with 2 OOC T25 wins. Since they are already 1-1, the pressure is even higher on wins out west. 2-2 will help, but 1-3 will be a hard hole to pull out of because they only would have #16 FSU and #10 Northeastern after that for the rest of the season to show pollsters their skill. Assuming neither of these teams rises or falls much and BC beats them both, BC wouldn't have a T10 win and be looking at a national tournament in the #10-#13. Their first day will be harder than they probably want.

Overall I bet the next poll will have BC drop but not behind UGA, UGA stay put, and FL move up, but not necessarily above UGA.