Counting Wins vs. Ranked Teams
Posted: Tue Jan 02, 2007 4:25 pm
Before the season starts and conversations are biased by team loyalties, I am wondering how the forum members and pollsters determine wins vs ranked teams.
Specifically, I am wondering if credit for a win over a ranked team is frozen by when they play, or do they shift over the season with various polls. To help understand my question consider these two hypotheticals:
Hypothetical #1: Team A is ranked #16 and beats a #9 ranked Team B. Team B thus falls outside of the top 15 in the next poll and never re-enters the top 15. Does Team A get credit for beating a top 10 team or have they yet to beat a top 15 ranked team?
Hypothetical #2: Team C is missing their starting All-American goalie for the first 4 games of the year. During that time Team D beats Team C. Both teams ranked between #20-25 in the subsequent poll. Team C regains it's goalie and goes on to beat several Top 10 teams, landing them in the Top 10 by the last poll of the season. Does Team D get credit for beating a Top 10 Team? or a Top 20 team?
I pose this question because it appeared that wins vs ranked teams was a major criteria for many of the forum members for a team to be in the national tournament, but there was no agreement on how to interpret wins vs ranked teams. During last seasons posts it was evident that some members would count their wins vs ranked opponents for various reason, but discredit other teams wins for some reason or another. I'm wondering what people's thoughts are, and if any pollsters will address how they handle these types of situations? (Just want to add that I know pollsters take into account alot more than just wins vs ranked opponents into their final seedings, and they do a great job evaluating and comparing teams from across the nation)
My 2 cents on this is that a wins over ranked opponents should be frozen by the last poll. You never know how an upset can send a good team spiralling, or how a change in strategy or personnel can inspire a team. Either way, a team should not be penalized or be given credit based on what another team does after they play. Since this is my biased on this topic, my hypotheticals may not be completely fair, so if there are any others people want to suggest, that would be great.
Specifically, I am wondering if credit for a win over a ranked team is frozen by when they play, or do they shift over the season with various polls. To help understand my question consider these two hypotheticals:
Hypothetical #1: Team A is ranked #16 and beats a #9 ranked Team B. Team B thus falls outside of the top 15 in the next poll and never re-enters the top 15. Does Team A get credit for beating a top 10 team or have they yet to beat a top 15 ranked team?
Hypothetical #2: Team C is missing their starting All-American goalie for the first 4 games of the year. During that time Team D beats Team C. Both teams ranked between #20-25 in the subsequent poll. Team C regains it's goalie and goes on to beat several Top 10 teams, landing them in the Top 10 by the last poll of the season. Does Team D get credit for beating a Top 10 Team? or a Top 20 team?
I pose this question because it appeared that wins vs ranked teams was a major criteria for many of the forum members for a team to be in the national tournament, but there was no agreement on how to interpret wins vs ranked teams. During last seasons posts it was evident that some members would count their wins vs ranked opponents for various reason, but discredit other teams wins for some reason or another. I'm wondering what people's thoughts are, and if any pollsters will address how they handle these types of situations? (Just want to add that I know pollsters take into account alot more than just wins vs ranked opponents into their final seedings, and they do a great job evaluating and comparing teams from across the nation)
My 2 cents on this is that a wins over ranked opponents should be frozen by the last poll. You never know how an upset can send a good team spiralling, or how a change in strategy or personnel can inspire a team. Either way, a team should not be penalized or be given credit based on what another team does after they play. Since this is my biased on this topic, my hypotheticals may not be completely fair, so if there are any others people want to suggest, that would be great.