Who's got the upset?

The 2013 tournament returns to Greenville, SC this May.

Most likely to upset?

Texas over Colorado State
3
2%
Northeastern over Sonoma
6
4%
Duluth over Colorado
17
13%
Oakland over Michigan
7
5%
Lindenwood over BYU
21
16%
Cal Poly over Florida State
33
24%
UCSB over UCSD
31
23%
Oregon over Arizona
17
13%
 
Total votes : 135

Who's got the upset?

Postby Blue99 on Thu May 04, 2006 10:42 am

I have always been a fan of the underdog, and root for them when i dont care about the game. I want to know who has the best shot, or the most votes to upset their opponent.
Anyone can beat anyone on any given day..
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Postby CATLAX MAN on Thu May 04, 2006 11:01 am

I think you could see as many as 3 upsets in the 1st round. Even if there are none, after the 1st round, all bets are off as this is the most evenly matched set of teams that this tournament has ever seen. Quite a number of teams could win this thing.
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Postby Rob Graff on Thu May 04, 2006 11:17 am

All bets are off as this is the most evenly matched set of teams that this tournament has ever seen.


I think there is more palpable excitement about this year's tournament than in past ones because of that exact point CLM
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Postby Champ on Thu May 04, 2006 11:53 am

I voted for Duluth over CU, but I think almost all the games except SSU vs. NE and CSU vs. Texas are very closely matched
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Postby x1dschm on Thu May 04, 2006 12:50 pm

Is it really an upset if Poly beats FSU, UCSB beats UCSD (this maybe different because UCSB has already lost to UCSD twice), or Oregon over Zona. All of those games are very evenly matched. I wouldn't be shocked for those games to be decided by a goal or two a piece.

If one of the top 5 seeds loses... that would be a major upset. CU and BYU better take care of business in the first round. LU and UMD are very good teams and are playing for respect.
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Postby Maverik on Thu May 04, 2006 3:09 pm

Agree ^^^^^^^^^^^
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Postby Daniel Morris on Thu May 04, 2006 9:16 pm

Champ wrote:I voted for Duluth over CU, but I think almost all the games except SSU vs. NE and CSU vs. Texas are very closely matched


What in God's name leads you to this statement? Have you seen Northeastern even play? I think any one of these teams has a shot. Northeastern has one of the USLIA's top players in Chris Cook. I am sick to death of the message boards condeming a team to a loss without even seeing them play. Before making pronoucements like this, check out the competition first, you might be surprised.
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Postby sohotrightnow on Thu May 04, 2006 9:36 pm

I admire your passion Daniel. However, I think people have heard these claims before, and come tournament time, these teams (lower seeds) are usually dominated. In addition, several perceived top players in the less competitive leagues usually do not perform at the same level when they play a top 10 team in the tournament. I am not saying that these lower seeds do not stand a chance, but history is against them.
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Postby Bluevelvet on Thu May 04, 2006 9:50 pm

The biggest upsets since I have been following MDIA championship tournaments were in 2001 when #12 Stanford beat #5 Simon Fraser and #4 Sonoma in the second round. Also, that year, #9 UCSB beat #1 Michigan in the second round.
The following year, 2002, #7 UCSB beat #2 Auburn in the second round but most people thought that was not an upset. 2002 was the year that simultaneous second round overtime games were played on adjacent fields. #8 Arizona lost to #1 Sonoma and #3 CSU beat #6 Stanford. UCSB and BYU played a double overtime game in the consolation (3rd place) game that year as well, with UCSB prevailing. That was a very exciting year.

Can anyone recall a team seeded lower than #12 winning a game?
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Postby WaterBoy on Fri May 05, 2006 12:18 am

Let us of course also not forget last year's FSU win in the second round.

And in agreement with sohotrightnow, history is certainly against teams like Northeastern. I think in this year more than any past, an upset is possible anywhere in the first round, but it's certainly not likely as the splits grow larger.

I can tell you why people are probably not expecting a win from NU, and that is that they have only played two teams ranked above them, actually ranked at all for that matter, and though they beat Oakland, they lost to Lindenwood by 5.

Once again, don't get me wrong, I'm not making a statement claiming that they have no chance, but it certainly would not be what people would expect from the game. After losing to number 12 by 5, I don't think people are expecting big moves against number 2... but an upset like this would sure make things interesting in Plano (not that I don't think they will be).
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Postby Woda on Fri May 05, 2006 2:23 am

Champ wrote:I voted for Duluth over CU, but I think almost all the games except SSU vs. NE and CSU vs. Texas are very closely matched


Texas played Colorado close, I wouldnt count them out...
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Postby laxalum16 on Fri May 05, 2006 3:35 am

nothing against NE, but from what i've seen first hand experience in a big event like this is invaluable. the first time players step onto the fields and look around and see who their playing against, with, and adjacent to is overwhelming. it makes it hard to focus. but more power to the upsets!!
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Postby Champ on Fri May 05, 2006 8:27 am

Daniel Morris wrote:
Champ wrote:I voted for Duluth over CU, but I think almost all the games except SSU vs. NE and CSU vs. Texas are very closely matched


What in God's name leads you to this statement? Have you seen Northeastern even play? I think any one of these teams has a shot. Northeastern has one of the USLIA's top players in Chris Cook. I am sick to death of the message boards condeming a team to a loss without even seeing them play. Before making pronoucements like this, check out the competition first, you might be surprised.

Geez I didn't think I'd take so much flack on an upset prediction thread.

Anyways, SSU has proven talent for years, and will beat Northeastern. Sure it's possible for Northeastern to win, but I do not think it will happen. Last I checked it takes a team of guys not just one great player. Look at Lindenwood, last year they had "one of the best attackmen" in the USLIA and didn't win a first round over a lower seeded opponent (I hope I remember that right).

Same thing with Texas and CSU for whoever else posted.
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Postby cjwilhelmi on Fri May 05, 2006 8:41 am

I believe Lindenwood lost to Colorado, a higher ranked seed
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Postby Sonny on Fri May 05, 2006 8:45 am

cjwilhelmi wrote:I believe Lindenwood lost to Colorado, a higher ranked seed


That is correct.

LINK to the final regular season poll results:
http://www.uslia.com/news.php?action=fullnews&id=176

LU was seeded 12th and Colorado 5th last year in Minnesota after CSU was removed from the tournament field.
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